Warren Central
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #85
Shelbyville Regional Rank #22
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Cougarpalooza Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Nike XC Town Twilight North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Shelbyville Regional
Date 8/26 9/2 9/6 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/4 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 860 1,136 1,017 888 959 1,029 888 935 886 826
Team Adjusted Rating 1,054 1,017 888 912 1,029 888 935 886 826
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Cougarpalooza Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Nike XC Town Twilight North Central JV Invitational Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Shelbyville Regional
344  Madelin Nouel 11 20:58 21:49 21:52 21:06 21:02 21:05 21:31 21:26 20:57 22:01 20:47
665  Kaden Tunstill 11 21:58 23:15 22:12 22:13 22:21 22:28 22:00 22:39 21:42 21:46
787  Citlaly Sanchez 11 22:12 23:16 23:55 26:33 22:34 23:42 23:35 22:35 23:00 21:49 22:05
875  Jacqueline Hartman 12 22:27 21:58 23:44 22:32 21:49 22:35 22:18 22:04 21:55 22:50 22:35
914  Marklia Sanders 10 22:32 27:01 26:48 23:37 22:30 23:18 22:15 22:20
1,017  Hanna Kegerreis 11 22:46 23:36 24:15 23:34 24:09 23:19 23:33 23:01 23:30 22:46 22:34
1,165  Veronica Lugo 12 23:08 21:58 23:22 22:59 22:26 23:07 23:19 22:51 23:26 23:45
Justice Scott 10 25:10 26:15 25:21 25:18 24:32 25:06 24:34 25:06 25:21
Avyanna Jones 12 25:17 25:11 24:58 24:22 25:04 24:57 25:43 26:14 25:28
Nazareth Gonzalez 11 25:23 25:35 25:08 25:26 25:40 25:05 25:03 25:41 25:06 25:36




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 6.3 153 0.1 1.4 14.4 39.2 45.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madelin Nouel 100% 79.7 100.0% 100.0%
Kaden Tunstill 100% 131.3 100.0% 99.6%
Citlaly Sanchez 100% 143.5 100.0% 95.6%
Jacqueline Hartman 100% 154.6 100.0% 70.0%
Marklia Sanders 100% 157.8 100.0% 48.1%
Hanna Kegerreis 99.8% 165.4 98.5% 13.0%
Veronica Lugo 95.7% 175.4 10.3% 0.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madelin Nouel 17.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 3.4 4.8 5.2 7.1 7.8 10.3 10.9 11.3 10.9 8.8 6.2 5.8 3.5 1.9 1.0
Kaden Tunstill 29.5 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.8 2.7 4.4
Citlaly Sanchez 33.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.8
Jacqueline Hartman 36.1 0.2
Marklia Sanders 37.1 0.1
Hanna Kegerreis 38.8
Veronica Lugo 40.8